Who Needs …
… les romans policiers?… thrillers!
[ … ] The Iranian issue I don’t think has much to do with nuclear weapons frankly [ … ] But the point in the Middle East, as distinct from North Korea, is that this is center of the world’s energy resources [ … ] That’s been an axiom of U.S. foreign policy, that it must control Middle East energy resources [ … ] In fact if the United States used no Middle East oil, it’d have the same policies. If we went on solar energy tomorrow, it’d keep the same policies. [ … ] Control is the source of strategic power [ … ] There are several issues in the case of Iran. One is simply that it is independent and independence is not tolerated.
Sometimes it’s called successful defiance in the internal record […] International affairs is very much run like the mafia. The godfather does not accept disobedience, even from a small storekeeper who doesn’t pay his protection money. You have to have obedience otherwise the idea can spread that you don’t have to listen to the orders and it can spread to important places [ … ] it’s not only that it has substantial resources and that it’s part of the world’s major energy system but it also defied the United States [ … ] And again, the will of the U.S. population and even US business is considered mostly irrelevant. Seventy five percent of the population here favors improving relations with Iran, instead of threats. But this is disregarded [ … ] They have to be punished for disobeying us [ … ] I presume part of the reason for the U.S.-Israel invasion of Lebanon in July [ … ] was that Hezbollah is considered a deterrent to a potential U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. It had a deterrent capacity, i.e. rockets. And the goal I presume was to wipe out the deterrent so as to free up the United States and Israel for an eventual attack on Iran [ … ] In fact, one of the last acts of the U.S.-Israeli invasion, right after the ceasefire was announced before it was implemented, was to saturate much of the south with cluster bombs. There’s no military purpose for that, the war was over, the ceasefire was coming. [ … ] UN de-mining groups that are working there say that the scale is unprecedented [ … ] There are supposed to be about one million bomblets left there. [ … ]
… I don’t think any of the outside commentators at least as far as I’m aware have taken very seriously the idea of bombing nuclear facilities. They say if there will be bombing it’ll be carpet bombing. So get the nuclear facilities but get the rest of the country too, with an exception. By accident of geography, the world’s major oil resources are in Shi’ite-dominated areas. Iran’s oil is concentrated right near the gulf, which happens to be an Arab area, not Persian. Khuzestan is Arab, has been loyal to Iran, fought with Iran not Iraq during the Iran-Iraq war. This is a potential source of dissension. I would be amazed if there isn’t an attempt going on to stir up secessionist elements in Khuzestan. U.S. forces right across the border in Iraq, including the surge, are available potentially to “defend” an independent Khuzestan against Iran, which is the way it would be put, if they can carry it off [ … ]
… but one of the things they considered was maintaining troop presence in Iraq beyond what’s to be used in Iraq for troop replacement and so on, and use them for a potential land move in Iran — presumably Khuzestan where the oil is. If you could carry that off, you could just bomb the rest of the country to dust.
Again, I would be amazed if there aren’t efforts to sponsor secessionist movements elsewhere [ … ] the United States is trying to stir them up, to break the country internally if possible. The strategy appears to be: try to break the country up internally, try to impel the leadership to be as harsh and brutal as possible. [ … ] Everyone knows that. That’s one of the reasons the reformists, Shirin Ebadi and Akbar Ganji and others, are bitterly complaining about the U.S. threats, that it’s undermining their efforts to reform and democratize Iran. But that’s presumably its purpose [ … ]
try to get the leadership to be as brutal and harsh and repressive as possible, to stir up internal disorder and maybe resistance. And a third is to try to pressure other countries, and Europe is the most amenable, to join efforts to strangle Iran economically. Europe is kind of dragging its feet but they usually go along with the United States.
The efforts to intensify the harshness of the regime show up in many ways. [ … ] Any wild statement that he comes out with immediately gets circulated in headlines and mistranslated [ … ] But anybody who knows anything about Iran [ … ] don’t report his statements, particularly when [ … ] statements are pretty conciliatory [ … ] As far as I’m aware, it never got reported. [ … ] The Arab League proposal calls for normalization of relations with Israel if it accepts the international consensus of the two-state settlement which has been blocked by the United States and Israel for thirty years. And that’s not a good story, so it’s either not mentioned or it’s hidden somewhere etc etc etc & more & more & more………………………